This week, two big news stories emerged that indicate Us prediction markets are gaining traction.
CME Group and FanDuel have announced plans to collaborate to create a legal prediction platform. Additionally, Polymarket has begun testing its new U.S. version, which will comply with regulations.
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CME and FanDuel Launch Regulated Us Prediction Markets
CME Group, the world’s largest trading marketplace, and FanDuel, America’s leading sports betting app, are working together to develop a new mobile app called FanDuel Predicts.
This app will launch in December 2025, but will require government approval first. Using this app, people can predict the future—such as sports results, economic numbers, or market changes.
This app will only operate in select U.S. states and will be built on CME’s secure system. FanDuel wants people to be able to use it easily, and CME will ensure everything is legal and safe.
The app will also include security measures such as checking people’s names and setting limits to prevent fraud. Each trade will be based on a simple yes or no question, the result of which will be decided by CME’s system.
Polymarket U.S. Relaunch
Meanwhile, Polymarket, a blockchain-based prediction market, has begun testing its new U.S. exchange.
This comes after the company purchased a registered U.S. trading company called QCEX, which is already a legal exchange and clearinghouse. The company has also received special permission from the CFTC, allowing it to operate on a limited scale.
Polymarket plans to reopen its full platform by November 2025 and is also in talks with new investors to invest additional funds.
Regulatory
Prediction markets in America are booming. Interest has increased further after the 2024 elections, and government regulations are gradually easing. Trading reached record levels in October.
Two major companies Kalshi and Polymarket together traded a total of $7.4 billion, their best month ever.
Kalshi traded approximately $4.4 billion, while Polymarket traded $3 billion. The most trading occurred in sports contracts, which were more popular than political and economic contracts.
Why This Matters – US Prediction Markets
All these updates show that U.S. prediction markets are no longer just a small or limited phenomenon. They are becoming a legitimate and fast-growing sector where both traditional finance and blockchain platforms are competing and expanding their business.
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People Also Ask:
What is a US Prediction Markets?
A prediction market is a platform where people trade on future events like elections, sports matches, or economic outcomes. The price of a contract indicates the probability that people believe that event will occur.
How does a prediction market work?
Users buy yes or no contracts. If the event occurs, they receive the contract’s payment, if it doesn’t, the contract expires. The price indicates the probability of the event occurring.
Are prediction markets legal in America?
Yes, but only if they follow proper rules. They must operate under the CFTC or state laws. Rules for blockchain-based platforms are still in the developing stage and require special permissions.
What is the difference between traditional and crypto prediction markets?
Traditional markets use normal money and legal systems, while crypto markets operate on the blockchain, where trading is decentralized and everything is settled on-chain.
What are the risks?
Prediction markets can be risky because the value of the contract depends solely on the outcome of events. Additionally, crypto markets have the potential for technical and legal issues.
